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Brew #77 You Make The Call!

Will Nintendo reach its forecast of 35 million Wii units sold in the U.S. by 2012?

70% Yes
30% No

Thanks for voting!

This entry was posted on Friday, May 25th, 2007 at 7:30 pm and is filed under You Make The Call!. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

3 Responses to “Brew #77 You Make The Call!”

  1. King D Says:
    May 27th, 2007 at 2:10 pm

    Yes!!!!!
    Non Gamers + Casual Games + Second Hardcore Gamers System of Choice=

    +35 million US sales easy:)

  2. Will Says:
    May 28th, 2007 at 2:49 am

    Looking at sales right now, yes, they will make it, and, if they launch a system during its lifetime with backward compatibility with the remote system, and (possibly if the public switches to high definition television) may incorporate the this as well, thus, making an “HD-Wii” variant that may do the same thing for its software (GCN and VC) and upscales it. However, 2012 sounds like a bit of a stretch, since the systems are produced on average every 5.5 years.
    It may be a stretch, but, they may exceed that, depending on whether the software will flow fluently, as well as the fact that hopefully third party developers won’t stab them in the back.
    Also, it has a positive response from the public as a simplistic machine. Depending also on whether or not Sony’s VR-3D device takes off, (probably not at this point, because of the fact that they already released the system with a main controller, and releasing too many accesories in succession for the system like EyeToy, which, I didn’t see as all that popular, and, with the impending launch of the SIXAXIS Rumble version of the controller. Also, the price may be steep for the device, I can see it going the way of Mattel’s Nintendo Glove.)
    Anyway, getting off topic, I can see a good future for Nintendo’s little white box, cudos, Nintendo!!

    -Will Cookson

  3. Mr Dooom Says:
    May 28th, 2007 at 7:57 pm

    Wikipedia says the current (or as of 2005) population of the U.S. is 300 million. Taking that up to 2012, let’s call it 320 million for a 6-7% population increase. In 2005 the average household size was 2.60, more or less the same as 2.59 in 2000, so let’s say it’ll be 2.60 in 2012.

    This means that 1 in 9.1 people will have a Wii (320/35), and assuming only one Wii per household, that means 1 in 3.5 (9.1/2.6) households will have a Wii. That just sounds like a really large number of people to have a Wii.

    Assuming still (and this is a wild assumption), that each of the 3 main consoles has an equal user-base, this almost means one console per household. I know there won’t be an even split, and lots of people own more than one console, but still, as a wild average, 1 console per household just doesn’t look right.

    Nintendo’s doing great, but I think this sales forecast is just a little optimistic.

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